Housing

Most affordable states for first-home buyers in 2026

Tasmania had a mean dwelling price of $750,300 and a derived average first-home buyer loan size of $485,300 in the March quarter 2026, the lowest of any state on both measures. Nationally, mean dwelling prices rose about 127% between 2012 and 2026, while full-time earnings grew between about 41% and 58%, depending on the state.

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Average first-home buyer loan, Tasmania
$485k
Smallest of any state. March quarter 2026
ABS mean dwelling price, Tasmania
$750k
Lowest of any state. March quarter 2026 (preliminary)
Rise in the national mean dwelling price
127%
March 2012 to March 2026. Earnings grew between 41% and 58% across the states
National derived average first-home buyer loan
$614k
All states and territories. March quarter 2026
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Section 01 · Dwelling prices by state

First-home buyer affordability by state

Tasmania had a mean dwelling price of $750,300 in the March quarter 2026, the lowest of any state and 32.5% below the national average of $1,111,100. Victoria was next at $947,100, followed by South Australia at $973,100. New South Wales recorded the highest mean price at $1,324,800, roughly 76% above Tasmania.

When territories are included, the Northern Territory was cheaper at $597,300, and the Australian Capital Territory sat at $1,018,000. The March quarter 2026 figures are preliminary and subject to revision.

The ABS mean dwelling price is based on the estimated value and number of residential dwellings in each jurisdiction. It is not the same as the median price of homes sold during the quarter.

Queensland recorded the sharpest price rise of any state. The mean dwelling price grew from $422,400 in March 2012 to $1,123,700 in March 2026, an increase of about 166%. It moved from being the third most affordable state in 2012 to being more expensive than Western Australia and Victoria by 2026.

Tasmania
$750k★
cheapest state
Victoria
$947k
South Australia
$973k
ACT
$1.02m
territory
Western Australia
$1.10m
Queensland
$1.12m
New South Wales
$1.32m
most expensive
Nat. average
$1.11m

First-home buyers tend to purchase lower-priced properties within a market, so their average loan sizes are typically smaller than the state mean price would suggest. The Northern Territory is included for completeness.

★ Cheapest state on both measures. Average FHB loan: derived arithmetic, calculated as total commitment value divided by number of commitments. FHB = first-home buyer owner-occupier new loan commitments.
State or territoryMean dwelling pricevs. national averageAvg FHB loanFHB loan count
Northern Territory$597,300−46.3%$491,700181
Tasmania ★$750,300−32.5%$485,300556
Victoria$947,100−14.8%$562,2008,489
South Australia$973,100−12.4%$580,6001,633
Australian Capital Territory$1,018,000−8.4%$574,700862
Western Australia$1,103,500−0.7%$607,3003,515
Queensland$1,123,700+1.1%$635,6005,284
New South Wales$1,324,800+19.2%$695,2006,558
Australia$1,111,100—$614,00027,078

Source · Mean dwelling prices: ABS Total Value of Dwellings, Australia, Table 1, March quarter 2026, preliminary. Average FHB loan: ABS Lending Indicators, Australia, Table 24, March quarter 2026, original series.

Mean dwelling prices across Australian states and territories, March quarter 2026Preliminary figures, subject to revisionABS Total Value of Dwellings, Australia, Table 1, March quarter 2026, preliminary.NSW$1.32MQLD$1.12MWA$1.1MACT$1.02MSA$973,100VIC$947,100TAS$750,300NT$597,300National avg $1.11mMean dwelling price (ABS, March quarter 2026)
The dashed line marks the national mean of $1,111,100. Five of the eight states and territories sit below it. The gap between Tasmania ($750,300) and New South Wales ($1,324,800) is $574,500. Figures are preliminary and subject to revision.

Section 02 · First-home buyer loan sizes

Average first-home buyer loans by state

Tasmania had the smallest derived average first-home buyer loan of any state at $485,300 in the March quarter 2026, followed by Victoria at $562,200 and the ACT at $574,700. New South Wales recorded the largest average loan amount at $695,200, a difference of $209,900 from Tasmania.

The average loan is calculated by dividing total first-home buyer owner-occupier commitment value by the number of commitments.

The loan size ranking mostly follows the price ranking, but not exactly. The ACT had a higher mean dwelling price than South Australia, at $1,018,000 compared with $973,100, yet ACT first-home buyers recorded a slightly smaller average loan size, at $574,700 compared with $580,600.

This may reflect differences in the types of properties first-home buyers purchased, the locations they bought in, the sizes of their deposits, or the use of government schemes. The ABS lending data does not isolate these factors.

Nationally, first-home buyers recorded an average loan size of $614,000 across 27,078 new loan commitments in the March quarter 2026. This is a single-quarter snapshot, not an annual total.

Average first-home buyer loan size across Australian states and territories, Marchquarter 2026Derived: total commitment value ÷ number of commitments. Original (unadjusted) seriesABS Lending Indicators, Australia, Table 24, March quarter 2026, original series.NSW$695,200QLD$635,600WA$607,300SA$580,600ACT$574,700VIC$562,200NT$491,700TAS$485,300Average FHB loan (derived, March quarter 2026)
The $209,900 gap between Tasmania ($485,300) and New South Wales ($695,200) translates to higher monthly repayment obligations in NSW at any given interest rate. Tasmania’s small loan count (556) means its quarterly average can shift more noticeably than in larger states.
Average FHB loan, Tasmania
$485k
Smallest of any state, March quarter 2026. From 556 commitments totalling $269.8 million
Average FHB loan, New South Wales
$695k
Largest of any state, $210,000 above Tasmania. From 6,558 commitments totalling $4,559.3 million
National average FHB loan
$614k
All states and territories, March quarter 2026. From 27,078 commitments totalling $16,627.2 million

Section 03 · Wages by state

Weekly earnings by state and territory

The ACT recorded the highest full-time adult ordinary time earnings at $2,248.40 per week in November 2025, followed by Western Australia at $2,193.20. Tasmania recorded the lowest of any state at $1,821.20 per week, a difference of $427.20 per week or about $22,200 a year compared with the ACT.

Lower dwelling prices in Tasmania are accompanied by lower local earnings, which affects the relationship between prices and incomes in that market. Western Australia’s higher earnings similarly sit alongside its higher mean dwelling price. The price-to-income ratio in Section 04 captures this relationship for each state.

All earnings figures are drawn from the ABS series for full-time adult ordinary time earnings, persons, original (not seasonally adjusted). This is the most consistent state-level series available. It excludes part-time workers, overtime, and irregular payments.

Full-time adult ordinary time earnings across Australian states and territories,November 2025Persons, original (not seasonally adjusted)ABS Average Weekly Earnings, Australia, November 2025, original state tables, full-time adult ordinary timeearnings, persons.ACT$2,248.4WA$2,193.2NSW$2,084VIC$2,013.7QLD$1,994.5NT$1,942.3SA$1,935.1TAS$1,821.2Weekly earnings (FT adult ordinary time, Nov 2025)
The ACT and Western Australia recorded the highest weekly earnings in this ABS series. These figures may reflect differences in each jurisdiction’s workforce and industry mix, but the earnings series does not isolate those factors. Tasmania records the lowest mean dwelling price and the lowest weekly earnings of any state.
★ Highest-earning jurisdiction. Annual estimate = weekly figure × 52; does not include overtime or bonuses. Figures are not seasonally adjusted.
State or territoryWeekly earnings (Nov 2025)Annual est. (×52)vs. ACT (highest)
Tasmania$1,821.20$94,702−19.0%
South Australia$1,935.10$100,625−13.9%
Northern Territory$1,942.30$101,000−13.6%
Queensland$1,994.50$103,714−11.3%
Victoria$2,013.70$104,712−10.4%
New South Wales$2,084.00$108,368−7.3%
Western Australia$2,193.20$114,046−2.5%
Australian Capital Territory ★$2,248.40$116,917—

Source · ABS Average Weekly Earnings, Australia, November 2025, original series, full-time adult ordinary time earnings, persons.

Section 04 · Price-to-income ratio

House prices compared with income by state

New South Wales had the highest price-to-income ratio of any state at 12.2 in the March quarter 2026. This means the mean dwelling price was equivalent to about 12 years of full-time adult gross ordinary-time earnings.

Tasmania had the lowest state ratio at 7.9. The national ratio was 10.6, up from 6.7 in 2012.

The ratio is calculated by dividing the ABS mean dwelling price by estimated annual full-time adult ordinary-time earnings. It is a derived figure, not a published official statistic, and should be read as a broad price-to-income proxy. It does not account for household income, tax, living costs, deposits, borrowing capacity or interest rates.

Every state recorded an increase between 2012 and 2026, though the pace varied considerably. Queensland’s ratio rose from 5.9 to 10.8, an increase of more than 80%. New South Wales rose from 7.5 to 12.2.

The Northern Territory was the exception. Its ratio moved from 6.3 to 5.9, as mean dwelling price growth was slower relative to full-time earnings growth over the period.

Price-to-income ratio across Australian states and territories, 2012 compared with2026Mean dwelling price (March quarter) ÷ annual full-time ordinary time earnings (November ×52). Derived figure20122026Derived from ABS Total Value of Dwellings, Australia, Table 1, March quarter 2012 and March quarter 2026; andABS Average Weekly Earnings, Australia, November 2011 and November 2025.510156.35.94.87.97.295.79.76.58.76.49.75.910.87.512.2NTTASVICSAACTWAQLDNSWState or territoryPrice-to-income ratio (years of gross FTearnings)
The ratio uses same-year November earnings as the denominator for each March quarter price. For 2026, November 2025 earnings are used. A ratio of 10 means the mean dwelling price equals approximately 10 years of gross full-time ordinary-time earnings. The ratio does not account for tax, living costs or deposit savings.
Price-to-income ratio by state in Australia, March quarter 2012 to March quarter2026Annual derived ratio. Northern Territory excluded to reduce chart clutterNSWVICQLDSAWATASACTDerived from ABS Total Value of Dwellings, Australia, Table 1, March quarter annual snapshots; and ABSAverage Weekly Earnings, Australia, November original series.468101214201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026YearPrice-to-income ratio
Queensland’s ratio rose the most sharply of any state, from 5.9 in 2012 to 10.8 in 2026. The Northern Territory’s ratio fell slightly from 6.3 to 5.9. The dips visible in several states around 2019 and 2023 reflect periods when prices fell or paused while wages continued growing.

Section 05 · Price trends and lending history

How first-home buyer affordability has changed by state

The national mean dwelling price rose from $488,600 in March 2012 to $1,111,100 in March 2026, an increase of about 127%. Full-time adult ordinary time earnings grew by between about 41% and 58%, depending on the state, over the same period, meaning dwelling prices rose at roughly two to three times the pace of wage growth across most markets.

Queensland recorded the largest state-level price increase at about 166%, followed by South Australia (about 158%), Tasmania (about 146%), and New South Wales (about 142%). Western Australia rose by about 107% and Victoria by about 89%.

The Northern Territory recorded much slower growth, with its mean dwelling price rising from $464,600 in 2012 to $597,300 in 2026, an increase of about 29%. This is reflected in its price-to-income ratio, which changed little compared with every state’s increase over the same period.

Mean dwelling prices by state in Australia, March quarter 2012 to 2026Annual March quarter snapshots, nominal dollars. 2026 figures preliminaryNSWVICQLDSAWATASABS Total Value of Dwellings, Australia, Table 1, March quarter annual snapshots from 2012 to 2026. Figures arenominal. March quarter 2026 figures are preliminary.$200K$400K$600K$800K$1M$1.2M$1.4M201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026YearMean dwelling price (nominal $)
All figures are nominal (not adjusted for inflation). The 2026 figures are preliminary. Queensland shows the steepest recent trajectory, overtaking Western Australia around 2020 and Victoria in 2025. Tasmania has maintained the lowest price line among the states throughout the series. Victoria and Western Australia both recorded price falls or plateaus between 2022 and 2024 before resuming growth.

First-home buyer owner-occupier loan commitments nationally peaked at 162,808 in 2021, before falling to 119,464 by 2025. The 2025 figure remained above the pre-pandemic range of roughly 82,000 to 103,000 per year recorded in the early 2010s.

Average loan sizes moved differently from loan volumes. The national average first-home buyer loan size, calculated from total commitment value divided by the number of commitments, rose from $314,500 in 2011 to $568,500 in 2025, an increase of about 81%.

Between 2021 and 2023, the number of new first-home buyer loans fell sharply while average loan sizes continued to rise. This shows that loan volumes and average borrowing amounts can move in different directions, although the lending data does not isolate the causes.

First-home buyer loan commitments and average loan size in Australia, 2011 to 2025Annual totals, owner-occupier new commitmentsABS Lending Indicators, Australia, Table 24, March quarter 2026. Calendar year totals compiled from quarterlyoriginal series.50K100K150K200K81,817162,808201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025YearOwner-occupier FHB loan commitments
The 2020 and 2021 spike occurred during a period of unusually high first-home buyer lending. The ABS lending data does not isolate the causes. Between 2021 and 2023, loan counts fell by about 31% from the 2021 peak of 162,808 to 111,094, while average loan sizes continued to rise over the same period, from $450,300 to $500,900.
Selected years shown. Avg loan = total value ÷ number of commitments (direct arithmetic). Owner-occupier FHB new loan commitments. YoY change calculated from derived average.
YearFHB loan commitmentsTotal value ($m)Avg loan sizeYoY change in avg loan
201185,741$26,964m$314,500—
201291,826$29,084m$316,700+0.7%
201489,371$30,206m$338,000+4.2%
201681,817$28,614m$349,700−0.4%
2018103,256$38,406m$371,900+5.6%
2020137,720$57,257m$415,700+5.2%
2021 (peak volume)162,808$73,312m$450,300+8.3%
2022118,749$57,304m$482,600+7.2%
2023111,094$55,652m$500,900+3.8%
2024117,118$62,442m$533,200+6.4%
2025119,464$67,918m$568,500+6.6%

Source · ABS Lending Indicators, Australia, Table 24, first-home buyer owner-occupier new loan commitments, original series. Calendar year totals compiled from quarterly data, 2011 to 2025.

Section 06 · Government support

First-home buyer grants and concessions by state

The federal Home Guarantee Scheme was expanded from 1 October 2025 to remove income caps, remove the annual cap on places, and raise property price caps across all states and territories.

Under the scheme, eligible first-home buyers can purchase with a deposit from 5%, with the government guaranteeing part of the loan to the lender. This can remove the requirement for lenders mortgage insurance, depending on the buyer, lender and property.

Federal property price caps under the scheme range from $600,000 in the Northern Territory to $1.5 million in NSW capital city and regional centre areas. Tasmania’s $700,000 cap is the lowest among the states.

State and territory governments also provide first-home buyer grants and duty concessions, but the settings are not directly comparable. Some schemes offer cash grants for new homes only, while others reduce or waive transfer duty on established homes, new homes or vacant land.

Eligibility rules, property price caps, residence requirements and income limits vary by jurisdiction.

The table below includes settings current or announced as at July 2026. Measures in transition are labelled separately. Policy settings may have changed since publication, so current details should be checked with the relevant state revenue office or Housing Australia.

Settings are current or announced as at July 2026. Measures in transition are labelled separately. Policy settings may have changed since publication.
State or territoryFederal 5% scheme capState grant or duty concession headline
New South Wales$1,500,000 (capital city & regional centres)No transfer duty on existing homes ≤$800,000; reduced rate to $1m. First Home Owner Grant $10,000 for eligible new homes.
Victoria$950,000 (capital city & Geelong)Duty exemption or concession on homes ≤$750,000. First Home Owner Grant $10,000 for eligible new homes up to $750,000.
Queensland$1,000,000 (capital city, Gold Coast, Sunshine Coast)First home concession saves up to $24,525 on homes below $800,000. First Home Owner Grant $30,000 for eligible new homes, continued for eligible contracts signed from 1 July 2026. Full duty concession to nil on eligible new homes or vacant land from 1 May 2025.
Western Australia$850,000 (capital city)First Home Owner Grant up to $10,000 for eligible new homes. Current duty: no duty on homes up to $500,000; concessional rate up to $700,000 (Metro/Peel). Budget measures announced 7 May 2026 would raise these to $600,000 and $800,000 respectively, pending Parliament and system implementation (estimated 28 July 2026).
South Australia$900,000 (capital city)First Home Owner Grant up to $15,000 for eligible new homes. Eligible contracts from 4 June 2026 may receive relief equivalent to full stamp duty on new or established homes or vacant land.
Tasmania$700,000 (capital city)Duty exemption on established homes ≤$750,000 applied to settlements between 18 Feb 2024 and 30 June 2026 only. The exemption has not been extended; standard duty rates apply from 1 July 2026. First Home Owner Grant reduced to $20,000 from 1 July 2026 (was $30,000).
Australian Capital Territory$1,000,000Home Buyer Concession Scheme: zero duty up to $1,020,000 (from 1 July 2025), with income threshold from $250,000 for buyers with no dependent children. First Home Owner Grant ceased 1 July 2019.
Northern Territory$600,000 (Darwin cap $750,000 from 1 July 2026)First Home Owner Grant $50,000 for eligible new homes (1 Oct 2024 to 30 Sept 2027). Established-home grant of $10,000 ended 30 Sept 2025.

Source · Australian Treasury; Housing Australia; Revenue NSW; State Revenue Office Victoria; Queensland Revenue Office; RevenueWA; RevenueSA; State Revenue Office Tasmania; ACT Revenue Office; Northern Territory Government.

Which state is most affordable for first-home buyers overall?

On the two clearest official measures available, ABS mean dwelling price and average first-home buyer loan size, Tasmania records the lowest figures of any state. Its mean dwelling price of $750,300 was the lowest of any state in the March quarter 2026, and the average first-home buyer loan of $485,300 was also the smallest. When territories are included, the Northern Territory is cheaper on price ($597,300) but has a slightly higher average loan ($491,700). Tasmania’s lower wages, relative to most other states, are a separate factor that affects how far those prices stretch for local earners.

Why is Queensland more expensive than Victoria and Western Australia now?

Queensland’s mean dwelling price rose from $422,400 in March 2012 to $1,123,700 in March 2026, the fastest proportional rise of any state at about 166%. The ABS dwelling price data shows the scale of the increase, but it does not isolate the causes. Queensland overtook Western Australia in mean dwelling price terms around 2020 and overtook Victoria in 2025.

What do the figures show for the Northern Territory?

The Northern Territory recorded the lowest mean dwelling price of any state or territory at $597,300 in the March quarter 2026. The federal government’s First Home Owner Grant for the territory is $50,000 for eligible new homes (1 October 2024 to 30 September 2027). The average first-home buyer loan of $491,700 was the second lowest nationally. The territory’s first-home buyer market is small (181 loan commitments in the March quarter 2026), which means quarterly averages can fluctuate more than in larger markets. Employment conditions, population size, and rental market dynamics in the NT differ materially from the mainland states.

What is the 5% deposit scheme and who is eligible?

The federal Home Guarantee Scheme allows eligible first-home buyers to purchase with a 5% deposit, with the government guaranteeing up to 15% of the purchase price to the lender. This removes the requirement to pay lenders mortgage insurance. Since 1 October 2025, the scheme has no income cap and no limit on places. Property price caps apply by location and state, ranging from $600,000 in the Northern Territory to $1.5 million in NSW capital city and regional centre areas. Full eligibility details are published on the Housing Australia website.

Section 07 · State comparison

Which states compare best for first-home buyers?

Tasmania had the lowest mean dwelling price at $750,300, the smallest average first-home buyer loan at $485,300, and the lowest price-to-income ratio at 7.9 of any state in the March quarter 2026.

★ Lowest state on mean dwelling price, average first-home buyer loan size and price-to-income ratio. Price-to-income ratio is a derived figure: mean price ÷ annual full-time ordinary time earnings. ACT and NT excluded from state-only comparison.
StateMean price (Mar qtr 2026)Avg FHB loan (Mar qtr 2026)Price-to-income ratio (2026)Weekly earnings (Nov 2025)Federal scheme cap (capital city)
Tasmania ★$750,300$485,3007.9$1,821$700,000
Victoria$947,100$562,2009.0$2,014$950,000
South Australia$973,100$580,6009.7$1,935$900,000
Western Australia$1,103,500$607,3009.7$2,193$850,000
Queensland$1,123,700$635,60010.8$1,995$1,000,000
New South Wales$1,324,800$695,20012.2$2,084$1,500,000

Source · ABS Total Value of Dwellings, Australia, Table 1, March quarter 2026; ABS Lending Indicators, Australia, Table 24, March quarter 2026, original series; ABS Average Weekly Earnings, Australia, November 2025, original series; Housing Australia, Home Guarantee Scheme property price caps from 1 October 2025.

Tasmania recorded the lowest mean dwelling price, the smallest average first-home buyer loan, and the lowest price-to-income ratio of any state. Its weekly earnings were also the lowest of any state at $1,821.20 per week in November 2025, which is why the income measure is included in the comparison.

Victoria ranked second on mean dwelling price at $947,100 and second on price-to-income ratio at 9.0, with weekly earnings of $2,013.70.

Western Australia and South Australia recorded the same price-to-income ratio of 9.7, but through different combinations of prices and earnings. Western Australia had a higher mean dwelling price at $1,103,500 and higher weekly earnings at $2,193.20. South Australia had a lower mean dwelling price at $973,100 and lower weekly earnings at $1,935.10.

New South Wales recorded the highest mean dwelling price, the largest average first-home buyer loan, and the highest price-to-income ratio of any state. Its mean dwelling price was $1,324,800, while its average first-home buyer loan was $695,200.

Government support does not follow the same ranking as prices, loans or earnings. Queensland’s $30,000 First Home Owner Grant was continued for eligible contracts signed from 1 July 2026, while Tasmania’s grant was scheduled to reduce to $20,000 from 1 July 2026. Federal scheme property price caps also vary by state, from $700,000 in Tasmania to $1.5 million in NSW capital city and regional centre areas.

Loan repayments are not shown in the comparison table. At the same interest rate and loan term, different average loan sizes would produce different repayment amounts.

References

  1. ABS Total Value of Dwellings, March quarter 2026 · Australian Bureau of Statistics
  2. Lending Indicators, June Quarter 2026, Table 24, cat. 5601.0 · Australian Bureau of Statistics
  3. ABS, Average Weekly Earnings, Australia, Nov 2025 · Australian Bureau of Statistics
  4. Treasury: Supporting people into home ownership · treasury.gov.au
  5. Housing Australia: First home buyers to receive unlimited places and higher property price caps from 1 October 2025 · housingaustralia.gov.au
  6. Revenue NSW — First Home Buyers Assistance Scheme · revenue.nsw.gov.au
  7. First Home Owner (New Homes) Grant · revenue.nsw.gov.au
  8. State Revenue Office Victoria — First home buyer duty exemption or concession · sro.vic.gov.au
  9. State Revenue Office Victoria: Understanding the First Home Owner Grant · sro.vic.gov.au
  10. First Home Owner Grant · qro.qld.gov.au
  11. First Home Owner Grant eligibility · qro.qld.gov.au
  12. Queensland Revenue Office: Home grants and concessions · qro.qld.gov.au
  13. RevenueWA: About the First Home Owner Grant · wa.gov.au
  14. Duties fact sheet — First Home Owner Rate of Duty · wa.gov.au
  15. RevenueSA — First Home Owner Grant · revenuesa.sa.gov.au
  16. RevenueSA: 2026–27 State Budget · revenuesa.sa.gov.au
  17. First Home Owner Grant eligibility and historical amounts · sro.tas.gov.au
  18. State Revenue Office Tasmania — First home buyers grants and concessions · sro.tas.gov.au
  19. ACT Revenue Office: First Home Owner Grant · revenue.act.gov.au
  20. Northern Territory Government: First Home Owner Grant · nt.gov.au
  21. Northern Territory Government — Buying or building a new home: HomeGrown Territory and FreshStart New Home grants · nt.gov.au